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Polymarket rain markets, and how they settle

A rain market asks how much precipitation a station records over a whole month. Unlike a temperature market it resolves slowly: the total only ever goes up, and most of the uncertainty is about how many wet days are left.

What the terminal shows

Why a dry first half is not a dry month

Monthly rainfall is dominated by a small number of heavy days. A month can be far below normal with a week to go and still finish near it. Read the remaining days, not just the shortfall.

Risk. Prediction markets carry risk and you can lose money. Nothing here is financial advice. Past results do not predict future results.

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